Gambiaj.com – (BANJUL) – The Department of Water Resources (DWR) under the Ministry of Fisheries, Water Resources and National Assembly Matters has issued its 2024 annual rainfall prediction for The Gambia. The forecast indicates a high likelihood of above-average rainfall, particularly in the western sector of the country.

The prediction, covering the period from July to September, when around 80 per cent of the total rainfall occurs, is a crucial tool for agricultural planning and water resource management. According to the DWR, the forecast was generated using advanced forecasting tools and scientific knowledge, in line with its mandate to provide weather and climate advice to the government and the public.

Officials from the department have outlined that the rainfall is expected to commence in the Upper River Region and progress towards the Greater Banjul Area. The forecasted onset date ranges from 9th to 15th June 2024 for the eastern and central sectors, with a potential delay to 20th June 2024 for the western sector. The rainy season is anticipated to conclude around the end of October.

While the forecast indicates generally favorable conditions, officials have also highlighted potential risks associated with the above-average rainfall. These risks include flooding, submersion of arable land, infrastructure damage, crop and fodder loss, disease outbreaks, and disruptions to travel and economic activities. The department plans to provide monthly updates starting from the end of June 2024 to keep the public informed of any changes in the forecast.

The DWR emphasizes that a forecast is a set of probabilities and encourages the public to interpret the information provided. They also urge stakeholders in both the private and public sectors to use the forecast for policy formulation, planning, and decision-making related to the upcoming rainy season.